Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030687 0.033464 0.036205 0.039108 0.042092 0.045063 0.048241
2024-12-15 0.025579 0.030094 0.034662 0.039605 0.044782 0.050023 0.055712
2024-12-22 0.021061 0.026664 0.032466 0.038859 0.045655 0.052623 0.060268
2024-12-29 0.018008 0.024417 0.031190 0.038770 0.046925 0.055365 0.064699
2025-01-05 0.015315 0.022305 0.029847 0.038408 0.047720 0.057436 0.068252
2025-01-12 0.012899 0.020304 0.028465 0.037862 0.048186 0.059039 0.071190
2025-01-19 0.010249 0.017830 0.026410 0.036448 0.047600 0.059417 0.072726
2025-01-26 0.009294 0.017279 0.026470 0.037326 0.049463 0.062380 0.076976
2025-02-02 0.007993 0.016205 0.025857 0.037389 0.050378 0.064269 0.080023
2025-02-09 0.006340 0.014554 0.024489 0.036531 0.050215 0.064937 0.081705
2025-02-16 0.005427 0.013785 0.024119 0.036776 0.051248 0.066879 0.084734
2025-02-23 0.004431 0.012813 0.023453 0.036640 0.051819 0.068286 0.087152
2025-03-02 0.003324 0.011674 0.022670 0.036502 0.052558 0.070065 0.090194
2025-03-09 0.002503 0.010878 0.022315 0.036898 0.053946 0.072616 0.094148
2025-03-16 0.001428 0.009429 0.021046 0.036155 0.053998 0.073658 0.096421
2025-03-23 0.000770 0.008479 0.020358 0.036066 0.054766 0.075464 0.099505
2025-03-30 0.000244 0.007450 0.019491 0.035713 0.055192 0.076859 0.102104
2025-04-06 NaN 0.006401 0.018516 0.035181 0.055375 0.077950 0.104339
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005005 0.016916 0.033804 0.054525 0.077842 0.105211
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004809 0.017088 0.034659 0.056294 0.080686 0.109351
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004255 0.016660 0.034721 0.057104 0.082423 0.112239
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003346 0.015569 0.033885 0.056816 0.082888 0.113687
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002964 0.015314 0.034124 0.057801 0.084793 0.116731